Eden Foster leads with more than 40 percent of the primary vote at this point in the election. Despite a significant swing against the government in the seat, Victorian Labor is expected to retain Daniel Andrews’ seat of Mulgrave. With more than 75 percent of the vote counted, Dandenong mayor Eden Foster leads with over 40 percent of the primary vote in Saturday’s by-election, which is down over 10 percentage points from Mr. Andrews’ showing at last year’s state poll. Among the nine candidates facing Ms. Foster, Liberal candidate Courtney Mann has 22 percent first-preference votes and high-profile independent Ian Cook has 19 percent. At 11 p.m. AEDT, Ms. Foster led Mr. Cook 56 percent to 44 percent on a two-candidate preferred basis. Ms. Foster suffered a swing into the 10.2 percent margin left by Mr. Andrews, who was the local member for more than 20 years. Premier Jacinta Allan joined Ms. Foster and the Labor faithful to celebrate the result, but conceded “we knew it was going to a big fight” to retain the seat.
On Saturday night, the Liberals conceded defeat, with Opposition Leader John Pesutto noting the party’s increase in the primary vote. He also stated that the people of Mulgrave had sent a strong message to the premier that they are “tired of her taxes, waste, and mismanagement. They are tired of Labor doing nothing to address the rising cost of living.” Mr. Pesutto could face leadership pressure if the Liberals fail to finish second on primary votes, but he has insisted he is not fazed by the prospect. Mr. Cook, of shut-down Melbourne caterer I Cook Foods, recontested the seat as an independent after collecting the second most first-preference votes at the 2022 state election. It was ruled that Brett Sutton’s order to shut down Mr. Cook’s business over the listeria-linked death of an 86-year-old woman was invalid due to the health department not observing procedural fairness, although the company’s bid for damages was dismissed. Saturday marked the second Victorian state by-election this year, and Labor did not contest the Warrandyte poll.